Bitcoin Surges After $753M ETF Inflows, Eyes $100,000 Resistance

Market snapshot: institutional flows ignite renewed BTC momentum

Bitcoin recorded a strong intraday move after spot Bitcoin ETFs logged a $753 million single-day inflow — the largest since October — pushing BTC above $95,000 (intraday high ~$96,495). Cumulative ETF inflows now stand at roughly $57.27 billion with net ETF assets near $123 billion, reflecting substantial institutional demand that is supporting the market's upside.

Why the inflows matter

Large ETF inflows represent direct, persistent bid-side demand that can tighten spot liquidity and amplify price moves. The breakdown of today's flows (FBTC ~$351M, BITB ~$159M, IBIT ~$126M) shows broad participation across major products. For crypto trading participants this institutional participation reduces one common source of volatility — uncertainty over demand — and increases the probability of sustained rallies while flows continue.

Technical picture: momentum vs. resistance

Key technicals to watch:

- Price: intraday high near $96,495; trading above the 100-day EMA (~$95,987).

- Resistance: 200-day EMA around ~$99,581 — a significant barrier into the $100k area.

- Momentum indicators: daily MACD shows a buy signal, while BTC's RSI sits around ~65 and has started correcting; this implies bullish momentum but room for a pullback toward the mid-50s if momentum softens.

Immediate opportunities emerge if Bitcoin can sustain a close above the 100-day EMA, which would increase the odds of an extension toward $100,000 and the 200-day EMA. Conversely, a failure to hold above the 100-day EMA or a fall in ETF flows could prompt a retracement toward the ~$90,000 area.

Risk factors and scenario planning

Traders should consider a balanced view:

- Downside triggers: a material reversal in ETF flows, a USD weakness reversing, or hawkish U.S. data that lifts real yields would likely sap risk appetite and pressure BTC. Technical deterioration (RSI slipping toward the 50 midline) could accelerate a pullback toward support near $90k.

- Upside catalysts: continued daily ETF inflows, a decisive close above the 100-day EMA, or a broader risk-on shift that lifts correlated crypto assets could drive BTC toward the 200-day EMA and $100k.

Trading ideas and risk management

Short-term traders

Consider fading extreme intraday spikes if momentum indicators diverge (e.g., RSI weakening alongside higher prices). Look for defined entries near support levels (100-day EMA / $95k) and keep tight stops to protect against rapid reversals. Position sizing is critical given the possibility of a swift retracement to ~$90k.

Medium-term traders and investors

Investors who view ETF inflows as structural demand may add on consolidations or use dollar-cost averaging. A confirmed close above the 200-day EMA (~$99.6k) would be a technical breakout that many longer-term models treat as confirmation of trend continuation toward psychological targets above $100k.

Using automation to manage execution

Automated trading can help capture moves while enforcing discipline. For execution-focused traders, a Binance Trading Bot or a specialist Bitcoin Trading Bot can automate entries, scale-ins, and stop management to reduce emotional errors during volatile sessions. For multi-asset strategies that include forex hedges or cross-asset exposure, consider integrating a forex trading bot alongside crypto automation.

Broader market context

Today's BTC flows come alongside ongoing ETF accumulation in other crypto assets (Ethereum spot ETFs added roughly $130M) and broader macro themes: easing inflation expectations in some regions, persistent central bank balance-sheet dynamics, and geopolitical uncertainty that periodically shifts risk-on/risk-off flows. Traders should monitor cross-asset cues — especially USD moves and U.S. yield dynamics — because they materially affect crypto flows and valuations.

Checklist before taking a trade

- Confirm ETF flow momentum or note a reversal in flows. - Check daily/4H MACD and RSI for divergence. - Use the 100-day EMA (~$95,987) and the 200-day EMA (~$99,581) as primary technical references. - Apply strict position sizing and stop-loss rules: consider sizing so that a move to $90k represents an acceptable risk to portfolio capital.

Conclusion

Large spot ETF inflows have renewed bullish momentum for Bitcoin, pushing price above the 100-day EMA and into a run at the $100,000 area. The path higher is supported by institutional demand, but technical resistance at the 200-day EMA and a correcting RSI introduce near-term pullback risk. Traders and investors should combine flow data, EMA-based levels, and momentum indicators when planning entries and exits.

If you want to test automated strategies that respond to flows and technical triggers, try PlayOnBit's trading tools. The Trade Assistant Bot and tailored bots for execution can help implement disciplined, repeatable approaches to crypto trading and automated trading across markets. For more details visit PlayOnBit and start a trial to see how an AI trading bot can help manage entries, exits, and risk in fast-moving markets.